There is a very interesting election shaping up. The latest polls show Gov. Romney leading President Obama by less than one point. The very interesting piece is that, even though Romney is leading in the national polls, he is losing the electoral college estimates based on the polls. Here's the electoral college forecast I've created using the latest poll information from Real Clear Politics.
Real Clear Politics takes the most current polls from various organizations and averages them. Their averages are used by news sites on all sides of the political spectrum from MSNBC to Fox News (two of the most politically biased news organizations in mainstream media). I used the RCP average to award each state to the candidate leading in the polls for that state. The only perfect tie was in Colorado. I gave that state to Romney to make the results more even.
After doing all of this, I came up with Obama winning the election by 24 electoral votes. This means that the results could be off a little and Obama would still win the election. If the President lost New Hampshire and Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada, or Wisconsin he would still win the election. With only about a week and a half until the election, this is great news for those of us who support the President.
What it doesn't mean is that anyone can sit back and let their vote go uncounted. Get out there and use your vote. Vote early if that option is available to you. Either way, don't let one of the few rights that we have to control our government go to waste. Vote Obama 2012!
I've Moved! Well Played, Sir is now The Evolution of Reason. Visit my new blog site at www.evolutionofreason.wordpress.com! You will find my entire archive at my new site. Thank you for visiting!
Showing posts with label Mitt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mitt. Show all posts
Friday, October 26, 2012
Saturday, September 1, 2012
Romney/Ryan Promises Celebrated Overseas
Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan announce in their speeches at the Republican National Convention that they will create 12 million new jobs in the next four years.
In related news...celebrations erupted throughout countries like China and India as the people recieved news of investments expected to bring 12 million new jobs to their countries.
In related news...celebrations erupted throughout countries like China and India as the people recieved news of investments expected to bring 12 million new jobs to their countries.
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Proof Republicans Change the Rules to Benefit the Rich White Guys
I find it wonderful that so many conservatives are discovering what we have been saying about Republicans is true. I've had a couple of conservative friends post articles about how the Republicans at their national convention completely changed or ignored their own rules to do what they thought would benefit them the most. They did this at the expense of the minority in their party that supports Ron Paul. Watch this video of the corruption at the RNC. You have conservatives talking like liberals about how these people will do nothing but create a corrupt environment that is run by a few rich elites who make their own rules.
I particularly loved the guy holding a Romney sign that phsycially blocked the Paul supporters and the complete disregard for the voting system. "All those in favor will signify by saying aye. Aye! Those opposed, no. NO! (Easily as loud if not louder.) In the opinion of the chair the ayes have it." Wow. Don't even try to show any kind of integrity. Can you imagine what the founding fathers would have said about that display? There isn't even any point in holding a primary at this point. Just let the rich, white guys decide who the delegate is and force it on the rest of the party.
Well color me surprised! Republicans ignored rules, changed them when that wouldn't work...all to marginalize a minority in preference to a rich white guy? No...never! Give me a break. That's what these people have been doing for decades. If this is what they will do to their own people...what do you think they will do to the average American when they are in control? That's truly a scary thought. Personally, I'm encouraging conservatives to write in Paul's name on their ballots. I would love to see how many votes they can take away from Romney. Show the Republicans what happens when you take the rights away from a group of people. And when we're celebrating another term for Obama in November...I will have no problem pointing back to the RNC as the point that Republicans lost themselves the election.
I particularly loved the guy holding a Romney sign that phsycially blocked the Paul supporters and the complete disregard for the voting system. "All those in favor will signify by saying aye. Aye! Those opposed, no. NO! (Easily as loud if not louder.) In the opinion of the chair the ayes have it." Wow. Don't even try to show any kind of integrity. Can you imagine what the founding fathers would have said about that display? There isn't even any point in holding a primary at this point. Just let the rich, white guys decide who the delegate is and force it on the rest of the party.
Well color me surprised! Republicans ignored rules, changed them when that wouldn't work...all to marginalize a minority in preference to a rich white guy? No...never! Give me a break. That's what these people have been doing for decades. If this is what they will do to their own people...what do you think they will do to the average American when they are in control? That's truly a scary thought. Personally, I'm encouraging conservatives to write in Paul's name on their ballots. I would love to see how many votes they can take away from Romney. Show the Republicans what happens when you take the rights away from a group of people. And when we're celebrating another term for Obama in November...I will have no problem pointing back to the RNC as the point that Republicans lost themselves the election.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Election 2012: Romney Economics
It’s time. I’m going on the offensive against Romney. It has pretty much been decided that Romney is going to be the Republican candidate. If, for some reason, Ron Paul pulls of his coup at the convention and is able to secure the nomination I’ll move my sights on to him.
For now, we’ll attack Mitt. I’m going to look at Mitt through his record. If you read my other blogs, you will learn that I don’t believe in unsubstantiated claims. I will support my claims with facts. The claims will easily demonstrate why this man has no business becoming the next President of the United States.
Let’s look at one of the major complaints people have about the U.S., and how Mitt’s record is on this subject. While every poll is slightly different based on the wording of the questions, there is one result that seems to be prevailing. The most important issues to the majority of Americans are the economy and jobs. I’m rolling these into one category because they are so closely tied together.
Now I could try to attack every business deal Mitt has made. I’m not interested in doing that. I don’t think it’s necessary. I prefer to look at the overall impact of his involvement with the businesses he has touched. I have noticed two glaringly important facts about his involvement in business.
1. Executives make a lot of money when he gets involved with a business. Many times right before the company fails miserably.
2. The average worker suffers when Mitt has a hand in the company. This is a result of everything from job losses to pension cuts.
On the first point, I will say that this is exactly what everyone I know has been screaming about over the last couple of years.
***Here’s a slightly off-topic rant about this.***
Executive pay has gotten way out of control. Why? Not because they are so good at their jobs. In fact, Forbes did a study on the highest paid CEO’s and the best performing CEO’s. Here are some interesting results:
- Jeffrey Bezos – Amazon CEO – Ranked #1 in performance; Ranked 470 in pay
- John Hammergren – McKesson CEO – Ranked #1 in pay; Ranked 121 in performance
***Getting back on topic.***
So how does this relate to Romney? A very significant portion of executive compensation is based on stock and non-salary benefits. (Remember this the next time you praise any CEO for giving up a million dollars of salary for a cause. They are still getting millions in compensation.) This is where Romney and his boys at Bain made their money. They would purchase stock in these companies. They would work very hard to find ways to improve profitability. In most cases that involved reducing the average worker’s benefits, laying off employees, and streamlining costs in any way possible. These companies would incur great amounts of long-term debt, but their short-term results looked great. This drove the price of the stock way up. When the executives felt that their value was at its highest, they could then sell the stock and make hundreds of millions in profits. As they relinquished command of these companies, they could wash their hands of a company that had mountains of debt. Then, in a few years, when the debt became insurmountable, the company would fail or file bankruptcy. The Bain executives would get to claim that they had no hand in this problem because they sold out years ago. They tend to forget that they put the company in the position in the first place. For a man who is making his run for office based on the idea that he will reduce the budget deficit, this doesn’t seem like the best approach. So yes, Mitt, you did make a great deal of profit. However, as President Obama said, as President “your job is not just to maximize profits.” If Romney’s history holds true, he will streamline government by cutting jobs and increasing profitability. Then, right before we fall into a terrible economic downturn, he will cut and run.
How will he do it? Let’s look at his economic and job plans. From his own job plan, I take the following:
“A complementary step would be to align the wages and benefits of federal workers with market rates and then work to reduce the overall size of the federal workforce by 10 percent (pg. 143).”
The current size of the federal workforce is estimated just over 4.4 million people. So this man, who claims that he wants to create jobs, plans to eliminate 440,000 jobs in the U.S.? Why? Do the American people not have enough problems with the private sector eliminating jobs? Is the federal workforce that large? No. In fact, from 1962 to 1995, the federal workforce was always higher than it is now. The federal workforce declined from 1996 until right before the recession in 2008. At its peak, the federal government employed over 2 million people more than it employs today. But, go ahead Mitt. Cut those jobs. It seems to be what you’re good at…
That leads me into my next problem with Mitt Romney’s plan for the economic future of the U.S. He has a history of hurting the average worker. Not only did he work to reduce pensions and benefits for workers in an effort to increase the bottom line, Bain owned companies that were pioneers in the outsourcing trend. This was done while Romney was actively running Bain. Romney recently stated that “[China has] been able to put American businesses out of business and kill American jobs.” Really, sir? And who has been helping them do that? When President Obama remarked about the obvious hypocrisy in his stance compared to his track record, Romney could only reply with “President Obama confirmed today that he will continue his attacks on the free enterprise system…My campaign is offering a positive agenda to help America get back to work."
No, sir. I believe that he was attacking the fact that you are a hypocrite who will say whatever you think people want to hear. While this is not really unusual for a politician, the fact that you are loudly basing your platform on the fact that you are a successful businessman, but your success has been at the expense of the American workers, you lose all credibility. When you tell us that you will create jobs, but plan to eliminate almost half a million jobs when you take office, you are a liar. When you refuse to answer the many questions raised about inconsistencies in your history and platform, you are a coward. A good businessman? No. A profitable businessman for yourself and a few investors? Yes. But, who are the investors in this situation? Romney would have you believe that it’s the American people. Wrong. The PACS are the investors. They are the ones working so hard to get Romney elected. They are the ones who would benefit from his presidency. We are the ones who would pay the price.
You don’t have to like Obama. You don’t have to agree with everything he says or does. Economic recovery and job growth have been slow and agonizing, but it is growth. We are adding jobs and increasing GDP. To put a man with a record of destroying jobs, outsourcing, and creating huge profits on the backs of the American workers in the Oval Office is tantamount to middle class suicide. We know what we will get with Obama. More work towards recovery and growth. What will we get with Romney? Richer executives? A weaker and smaller middle class? Fewer jobs? How can this possibly be a better option than the recovery we’re experiencing now?
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